Ballon d'Or 2026: Who's Leading the Race? Harry Kane's Odds Take a Dive!

Published on October 23, 2025 at 12:50 PM
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Illustration of a gold soccer ball in a net, with the text 'BALLON D'OR 2026 ODDS'.Credit: THE SUN

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HARRY KANE continues to receive significant backing for the 2026 Ballon d’Or, with his odds decreasing by more than half since the beginning of October.

According to bookmaker William Hill, the Bayern Munich and England star is now listed at 6/1 for this prestigious accolade.

Men’s Ballon d’Or 2026 Winner Odds

William Hill odds

  • Lamine Yamal – 11/4
  • Kylian Mbappe – 3/1
  • Harry Kane – 6/1
  • Erling Haaland – 10/1
  • Ousmane Dembele – 12/1
  • Vinicius Jr – 16/1

Despite a remarkable performance for both club and country, Kane finished 13th at the 2025 Ballon d’Or ceremony and has never ranked higher than 10th.

However, 2026 may present a different opportunity.

The 32-year-old striker has already scored 20 goals in just 12 matches for Bayern Munich, including two hat-tricks and five braces.

His performance for the Three Lions is equally impressive, having netted eight goals in eight matches to help Thomas Tuchel’s team secure qualification for next summer’s World Cup with two games to spare.

A successful tournament in North America, along with silverware at the club level, could allow Kane to become the first English player to win the prestigious award since Michael Owen in 2001.

However, he faces competition from Barcelona's rising star Lamine Yamal, who is currently the frontrunner at 11/4 with William Hill.

Yamal finished second to Ousmane Dembele in last year’s awards but won the Kopa Trophy, given to the world’s best young player.

William Hill clearly believes the 18-year-old has the potential to surpass his previous achievements in 2026, as he shines for both World Cup favorites Spain and Champions League contenders Barcelona.

William Hill spokesperson Lee Phelps stated: “Kane appears to be in the best form of his career this season, and there’s currently no stopping the England captain as he continues to score goals for both Bayern and the national team.

“His exceptional scoring streak has led to a significant reduction in his odds this month for next year’s Ballon d’Or, dropping from 14/1 to 6/1, making him third in our market behind only Lamine Yamal (11/4) and Kylian Mbappe (3/1).

“If Kane maintains his scoring momentum in the Bundesliga and Champions League while guiding England to the later stages of the 2026 World Cup, he stands a strong chance of becoming England’s first Ballon d’Or winner since Michael Owen in 2001.”

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

The current odds for the 2026 Ballon d'Or are as follows: Lamine Yamal – 11/4, Kylian Mbappe – 3/1, Harry Kane – 6/1, Erling Haaland – 10/1, Ousmane Dembele – 12/1, and Vinicius Jr – 16/1.

Who is the favorite to win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

The favorite to win the 2026 Ballon d'Or is Lamine Yamal, currently priced at 11/4.

How has Harry Kane performed this season?

Harry Kane has had an outstanding season, scoring 20 goals in 12 matches for Bayern Munich and eight goals in eight matches for the England national team.

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