NEWCASTLE UNITED could still suffer a shock relegation this season, claims a data expert, despite Tottenham being the favourites for the drop.
Wolves and have already dropped down to the with four games still to play.
Newcastle could suffer a shock relegation this season, according to a data expert Credit: Alamy
Tottenham are looking like favourites for the drop and occupy the last relegation slot Credit: Shutterstock Editorial
The last relegation spot looks likely to be between Spurs and the Hammers with and Leeds both picking up points.
But stats boffin AaronW has claimed ‘s Magpies could still be dragged into a scrap for survival, even though they are on 42 points.
Newcastle are currently on a run of five straight defeats in all competitions and Howe might be concerned about their plight.
AaronW, who has 58,000 followers on , has presented a possible scenario where struggling Newcastle only pick up one more point and go down on goal difference.
Speaking in his TikTok video, he says: “Are we witnessing a team being relegated that no one is talking about? As I go through the games, focusing on the relegation battle, it’s not as crazy as it seems.”
His theory involves Spurs winning three of their last four games to put them on 43 points, but losing one game to .
Newcastle crucially play Forest and in their last four games and he posed a scenario where the Magpies lost both games while drawing to Brighton.
Forest would then beat one of Chelsea, Manchester United or Bournemouth in addition to Newcastle to put them safe on 45 points.
One theory claims both West Ham and Spurs could survive on the last day Credit: Getty
The scenario sees Newcastle going down on goal difference after three losses from four Credit: Reuters
West Ham are predicted to continue their solid run by beating Newcastle and but drawing to and Leeds.
AaronW’s theory continues with Tottenham beating 3-2 on the final day and Newcastle losing to , which would send them down on goal difference.
The scenario is of course incredibly unlikely, especially given Opta have given Newcastle a 0.07 per cent chance of going down.
The record for relegation with the most points belongs to West Ham after picking up 42 in 2002-03.
The battle for survival looks to be a nail-biter after Tottenham ended their 118-day for a win by on Saturday.
But West Ham also produced a dramatic finish to .
Forest romped to a 5-0 win away at Sunderland on Friday and look sure to avoid the drop.
Newcastle, meanwhile, which means they have now lost four league games on the spin.
All of those defeats have come by a one-goal margin.
Eze Chidiebere Paul
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