It is time to focus on the latest Premier League relegation and top 4 scenarios and remind ourselves of the Premier League tiebreaker rules as the business end of the season is here.
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Strap in, folks, and get your calculators out and keep this page open as it will come in very handy in the final week of the season with things about to get wild.
Below we take a look at the latest scenarios for relegation and the top four, as there are many permutations which could play out during the midweek games.
Plenty could still be decided on the final day of the season but it all depends on what happens in midweek.
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Here’s a look at what needs to happen for relegation and top four spots to be confirmed, while a look at the tiebreaker rules already has us imagining the madness of Watford, Bournemouth and Aston Villa all being tied on points, goal difference and goals scored.
|West Ham United||36||10||7||19||47||60||-13||6-3-9||4-4-10||37|
In terms of tiebreakers, here is the order and format in which league position will be sorted by if teams finish level on points:
- Goal difference
- Goals scored
- Points won in head-to-head meetings
- Away goals in head-to-head meetings
If the teams still can’t be separated after the above tiebreakers, a playoff will be arranged (at a neutral ground with the format, timing and venue determined by the Premier League Board).
last match: 11 am ET Sunday at West Ham
Villa needs a little bit more than a win or hoping Watford falls at Arsenal.
How could Villa go down with a win? If Watford beats Arsenal by at least two more goals than Villa defeats West Ham, it will climb over the Villans.
Similarly, if Bournemouth draws or loses, and both Villa and Watford lose, Villa could go down if it loses to West Ham by at least two more goals than Watford loses to Arsenal.
If both Villa and Watford draw, Villa stays up.
If Villa draws and Watford loses, Villa stays up regardless of what Bournemouth does at Everton.
last match: 11 am ET Sunday at Arsenal
A win over the Gunners would be enough if Villa loses.
A draw would be enough if West Ham beats Aston Villa.
Watford could even stay up with a loss if Bournemouth draws or loses and Villa loses to West Ham by two more goals than the Hornets loses to Arsenal.
last match: 11 am ET Sunday at Everton
The Cherries need to win at Everton. Anything less and they’re down.
If Eddie Howe’s men take down the Toffees, they also need Watford and Villa to lose.
PREMIER LEAGUE TOP 4 SCENARIOS
- Chelsea would clinch top 4 finish on Wednesday with:
- Draw at Liverpool AND Manchester United draw/loss v. West Ham
- Man United would clinch top 4 on Sunday with a win/draw v. West Ham AND a win/draw at Leicester City
- Leicester City would clinch top 4 on Sunday with a Man United loss/draw v. West Ham AND a win v. Man United
- Leicester City would clinch top 4 on Sunday with a Man United loss v. West Ham AND a draw v. Man United.
- Leicester City would clinch top 4 on Sunday with a Man United win v. West Ham AND a win v. Man United, but would have to win by enough goals to have a better goal difference than Man United, or finish level on goal difference and they’d win the tiebreaker on more goals scored.