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The nightmare scenario that would see Arsenal MISS OUT on top-five finish as horror Premier League run is laid bare

Published on May 08, 2025 at 11:28 AM

ARSENAL are out of the Champions League and no longer able to win a trophy from a season that promised so much.

But that doesn’t mean ‘s side have nothing to play for.

Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta consoles a distraught Jurrien Timber.
Arsenal went out of the Champions League after a 3-1 aggregate defeat to PSG
Mikel Arteta consoling Martin Odegaard after a soccer match.
But now the manager must rally the troops to make sure they are playing in next year’s competition
AFC Bournemouth players celebrating a goal.
A shock 2-1 loss to Bournemouth means Arsenal have now won just three of their last ten Premier League games
Illustration of a table showing the race for the Champions League, listing teams, points played, and points earned.
Arsenal still have work to do to make sure of qualifying for the Champions League next season

With finding some form in third place and now just three points behind the Gunners, the prospect of Pep Guardiola maintaining his record of finishing above the Gunners in every season he’s managed in England looms large.

Although they have had some memorable nights in Europe, Arteta’s men could hardly be more out of form in the Premier League.

They have won just three of their last ten matches, allowing Liverpool to stroll to the title.

However, there is a greater danger lurking than just wounded pride if an underwhelming end to the season sees Arsenal unable to manage a second placed finish.

That is because there is still the possibility of missing out on Champions League football altogether.

This season, it should be easier than any other to secure a place in Europe’s elite club competition.

That’s because the top five will qualify for the Champions League as a result of the Premier League being one of the two strongest in European competition this season.

But Arsenal still have work to do with City, , , and all capable of overtaking them.

Arsenal’s next game is a trip to newly-crowned champions Liverpool, where they’ll hope to break an Anfield duck that has lasted 13 years.

Lukasz Podolski and Santi Cazorla were the scorers when Arsenal last won at Liverpool back in September 2012.

Illustration of a table showing how Arsenal could miss out on the Champions League.
A nightmare scenario could see Arsenal finish outside the Champions League places

They then have the all-important home game with fourth-placed Newcastle, who are on 63 points.

Should they win that match, they would reach 70 points and automatically qualify for the Champions League.

Aston Villa, in seventh, are currently on 60 points and would be unable to catch Arsenal in that scenario.

Sixth placed Nottingham Forest, on 61 points, and fifth placed Chelsea, on 63 points, still have to play each other, meaning only one of the two teams can reach 70 points.

Illustration of remaining football fixtures.
Arsenal face a trip to champions Liverpool, a six-pointer at home to Newcastle and a final day at basement club Southampton

Fortunately for Arsenal, they then face a final-day trip to a Southampton side who will go down as the joint-worst in Premier League history if they are unable to pick up another point in their final three matches.

If Arsenal can pick up two points from their games against Liverpool, Newcastle and Southampton, that should be enough for Champions League qualification.

That’s because their goal difference is 12 goals better than Newcastle and Chelsea, 21 better than Nottingham Forest and 27 better than Aston Villa.

But if they pick up a point or less, that will open the door to all their rivals.

Aston Villa will need to win their three games against Bournemouth, Tottenham and Man Utd to have any chance of finishing above Arsenal.

While a point for the Gunners will mean Nottingham Forest would also need to win their remaining three games to finish above them.

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